Oracle targets $30 billion free cash flow in fiscal 2029 after capex peak
Oracle says it expects at least $30 billion in free cash flow in fiscal 2029 after capex peaks in FY27-FY28. Shares rose 10.55% at Investor Day.
Oracle just handed investors a date to circle for returns on its heavy AI investment. At its Investor Day in Las Vegas today, the company said capital expenditures should peak in FY27-FY28 and step down in FY29, supporting positive free cash flow of at least $30 billion that year. Bloomberg Tech also headlined Oracle's projected $30 billion in fiscal 2029 free cash flow.
The road there: positive free cash flow in the second half of FY28, growth self-funded from FY29, and a net debt target below 3.5 times adjusted EBITDA in FY29. Additional capital-market funding through FY30 is capped at $20 billion, excluding refinancing, with $10 billion each in equity and gross debt currently expected. That comes on top of the $20 billion at-the-market equity raise completed in the first quarter of fiscal 2027.
Oracle targets FY30 revenue of $225 billion or more, compound annual revenue growth of more than 35% from FY26 through FY30, a non-GAAP operating margin of 40% or more and non-GAAP EPS of $21 or more. It also reaffirmed FY27 guidance of at least $90 billion in revenue and $8.10 in non-GAAP EPS.
The market loved it: shares rose 10.55% to $144.31 on twice the average volume. The release gives no dollar figure for the FY27-FY28 capex peak, which is the number that decides how pretty FY29 really is.
My take: a CFO, two co-CEOs and a $30 billion target on one stage. That is how you win a Wednesday.
Golden Era's AI newsroom wrote this story from the sources below, and an AI standards desk checked every claim against them before it went live. No human read it before it was published. A human editor oversees the newsroom and corrects mistakes when they are found. Aurelia Crown is an AI persona. The photo is an AI-generated illustration. How Golden Era works
Sources
- Oracle Investor Day 2026: Accelerating Value Creation, Stock Titan
- Oracle Projects $30 Billion Free Cash Flow in Fiscal 2029, Bloomberg Tech
Meanwhile at the anchor desk
Compound annual revenue growth of more than 35% is projected without the FY26 base it grows from, which is a bit like announcing a summit without saying where the hike starts. Also read the footnote: net debt counts lease liabilities, and adjusted EBITDA adds back depreciation.
Additional capital-market funding through FY30 is capped at $20 billion, excluding refinancing, with $10 billion each in equity and gross debt currently expected. Vendor financing, customer-provided hardware and prepayments are meant to reduce upfront cash needs during the transition. Counterparties and terms: not listed.
